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| The Racing Section |
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| System for the Tote Ten To Follow : Jumps |
| Oct 2008: Welcome to the 11th
time our free system for the Totesport Racing Post Ten To Follow competition has appeared in full
online. Our objective is to give anyone picking their own lines of ten purely from our system's shortlist of 36 horses a sporting chance of being the next big winner. That could certainly have been the case in nine of the ten past postings, when the system gained enough points... |
to have finished, chronologically, 1st, 1st, 2nd, 0, 1st, 4th, 11th (plus a £10K prize), 1st, 1st (plus a £10K prize) & 1st (plus 3 x £10K prizes), potentially netting over £2.1m in prize-money. The 2008-9 Jumps comp. begins on Fri 14th Nov 2008 and ends on Grand National day, 4th April 2009. Our 2008-9 shortlist table appears below. The table is also available as a blank template. |
| Final shortlist posted here 13.11.08 at 8.20pm | View CURRENT position @ 30.11.08 |
| Our system - The competition's master list of 500 horses is reduced by our team down to just 36 horses max. This shortlist is then divided into five smaller subgroups to aid perming and ensure well-structured lines. The system rules are integral in the shortlist table below or are linked to in the table. Precise perming instructions are denoted by brown text in column 3 of the table. |
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| Key - a key to abbreviations appears after the shortlist. | Convert Irish-race euros to £s hence points (2008) |
Sel Nos |
Categories (Type of Jumper) |
SHORTLIST (this
col) - 32 named horses
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Other horses considered |
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| Col 2 Rule | Col 3 Rule | Col 4 Rule | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1, 2, |
2m Hrdlrs - Chmpn Hdl types. 4-6yo preferred age. All ages, incl subs in Feb, show as at start of comp. |
Perming - When entering the TTF in
November, for your first line of ten, start by taking any two from the four below, then proceed
down to note (2)...
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Osana 6g Pipe Snap Tie 6g Hobbs |
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3, 4, |
2m Chsrs - Qn Mother Chase types. 5-8yo preferred. |
(2) ...take any 2
from the 8 below (which are numbered in suggested weighting order), then continue to note (3)...
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Takeroc 5g Nicholls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2m Nov Chsrs - Arkle Trophy types. 5-8yo preferred. |
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Ashkazar 4g Pipe I'msingingtheblues 6g Nicholls |
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| 3m Nov Chsrs - SunAlliance types. 5-9yo preferred. |
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Cooldine 6g Ir Fiveforthree 6g Ir |
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5, |
2½m Hcp Chsrs - Paddy Power types. 5-9yo preferred. PPGC Rule |
(3) ...take any 1 from the 4
below, then continue down to note (4)...
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6, 7, 8, |
3m Chsrs - King George VI Chase types. Rule 5-10yo preferred. |
(4) ...take any
3 from the 12 below (numbered in suggested weighting order), then continue to note (5)...
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| 3¼m Chsrs - Chelt Gold Cup types. 5-10yo preferred. |
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| 3¼m Hcp Chsrs - Hennessy GC types. 5-10yo preferred. |
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Alberta's Run 7g O'Neill | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9, 10. |
Miscellaneous. Rule NH pref 4-6yo SH pref 5-7yo NC pref 5-8yo SC pref 6-11yo |
(5) ...take any 2 from the 8 below
to complete the first line of ten, then continue down to note (6)...
30.11.08 - First of our reader-contributors to get off the mark is Jonathan Sutcliffe with impressive Irish winner Catch Me. That's fitting as Mr. Sutcliffe had also been on the ball with tips last season. |
1. Other Misc hrdlrs (race-type order) 113- Zaarito 6g 2mNH ex-bmpr Ir [Len / ], 231- Won In The Dark 4g 2mH Ir sm trnr [LDP MA MP: 0 / ] 111- Punjabi 5g 2mH Hndrsn [JS: / ], 112- Whiteoak 5m 2½mH McCain [JM: / ], 2114 Kasbah Bliss 6g SH Fr [poss away till new year / ] 411- Elusive Dream 7g SH Nicholls [JS: 3 / ], 30-4 Kazal 7g SH Ir [LDP: / ] 2. Other Misc chsrs (race-type order) 0-00 Pigeon Island 5g 2mNC T-Davies [MP: 0 / ], 21-1 Tartak 5g George 2½mNC [AC: 3 / ], 321- Gwanako 5g 2½mhC Nicholls [AC: R / ], 011- An Accordian 7g Pipe SC [AC: / ] |
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| (6) ...on completing your first line
of ten, return to top of list and pick another line of ten, choosing differing numbers.
Repeat this until you have completed the number of lines you intend to enter. We recommend,
in your first four lines, that you do all 36 selections (including any blanks, pro-rata),
so you have covered every horse and every blank at least once in your overall entry. In
each of those first four lines, mix stronger horses and blanks with more speculative horses
and, finally, use the blanks as wildcards to fine-tune the lines. Then, in your subsequent
eight or so lines, start to whittle your lesser fancies out so as to pull more of your stronger
fancies and pro-rata blanks together. We suggest about twelve lines altogether - that's
£144, which is about £6.64 a week, for a whole season's enjoyment without breaking
the bank if things turn out bad this year for either our shortlist or people's choices of tens
from it.
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11, 12 |
Bonus Horses 8 sels rqd in Feb from which to choose various pairs Bonus Horse Rule GN Rule |
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During Jan/Feb, names should be pencilled in left of horses not in the shortlist which emerge as live prospects to win at Cheltenham and/or Aintree. Pairs of these can be added to any worthwhile lines for free in February in time to try to win £25K for most points at Cheltenham or £10K for most points in March. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Key to abbreviations possibly used in the above table:- [ / ] = a horse's results in the competition before and after substitution time, an example follows... [CR: 30 25 / P] in this example, the horse was submitted by reader 'CR' , the horse was 3rd on its first run, unplaced and favourite (underlined) on its second run, 25 points winner and favourite (underlined) on its third run and, after the February additions' window, was pulled up on its final run in the competition. 7, 8 etc. = a horse's age denoted in red, whether an original horse or a February addition, was outside of the preferred age range (in November) as indicated in column 2 (also see under 'red' in this section) C = Chaser CH = Champion Hurdle type col = column d = dead eas = on easy list Fr = French trainer GC = Gold Cup H = Hurdler inj = injury or injured Ir = Irish Trainer m = mare NC = Novice Chaser NH = Novice Hurdler nr = non-runner in either of targeted first two bonus races out = reportedly out for rest of season or, at least, remainder of competition pd = put down poss = possible or possibility PP = Paddy Power Gold Cup red = all remarks in red are a definite negative for the competition, though not always a bar to inclusion in our shortlist SC = Staying Chaser Sel = selection SH = Staying Hurdler sm = small trnr = trainer yo = years old at start of season |
| Five of the six scoring horses from the system's shortlist (col 3 above) are as follows... | ||
| Type | Horse | Points | |||||
| 2m hurdlers (2 sels per line) |
| Binocular | 25 | ||||
| | 00 | ||||||
| QM, Arkle & R&SA Chase types (2 sels per line) |
| 00 | |||||
| | Tatenen | 15 | |||||
| Paddy Power sel (1 per line) | | Imperial Commander | 57 | ||||
| 3m+ chasers (3 sels per line) |
| 00 | |||||
| | 00 | ||||||
| | Air Force One | 12 | |||||
| Misc (NH, NC, SH, SC or W/card) (2 sels per line) |
| 00 | |||||
| | Catch Me | 25 | |||||
| Bonus Horse | After Feb | 00 | |||||
| Bonus Horse | After Feb | 00 | |||||
| System's total from above at 30/11 | = | 134 | |||||
| Real leader's score at 29/11 | = | 164 | |||||
Official Leaderboard Jumps 2008-9 |
| Comments in running (last one first) | Back to top |
| 30.11.08 - 134 pts - Includes 25 points from Catch Me in the Miscellaneous section, courtesy of top man Jonathan Sutcliffe from Cheltenham. So far, 18 of the 32 horses have run and a third of those have scored points. Of the 12 which failed to score, 7 were losing favourites. Here we go again! |
| 29.11.08 (2) - 109 pts - A possible total from our shortlist, after the Hennessy, was 109 from four of the five scoring horses. This was good enough to be on the leader-board, sharing rock bottom place with millions of others on the same score. Meanwhile, the new real leader was 55 ahead of that on 164. This low score of 109, after the first two weeks, represents the worst-ever start for our shortlist, worse even than on the system's complete blow out in 2002-3. |
| 25.11.08 - 97 pts - The first leaderboard appeared in the Racing Post today (Tuesday). The real leader was on 144. One possible total from our shortlist was 97, from three winners, which was 12 points off the bottom of the first leader board. |
| System's Rules Disclaimer |
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